People are fascinating. A long-time client, now friend, recently referred
someone she knows to me. Let's call him John.
John and his wife own a home in Oakland. They bought it directly from
the homeowner as a For Sale By Owner (FSBO) in 1989, the peak of the market's
frenzy. Having previously been outbid on several other homes before finding
this one, they wrote a contract that was high for the neighborhood. Of
course, during that period of rapidly escalating values, it seemed that
prices would continue to rise. An historical survey of market trends over
the years tells us otherwise, but, at the time, they had no one to temper
their urgency. To compound the problem, the home was built in the 1920's
and had substantial "deferred maintenance," some of which they knew prior
to buying, the rest discovered over the years. Although the age of the
home contributed to the need for repairs, it was also a major component
of its charm. They loved it. They allowed their hearts to rule their heads.
Now, almost six years later, they decided to sell their beloved palace.
They realize they have multiple issues to face. The property is worth a
minimum of twenty-five thousand dollars less than they paid. Not only that,
it still needs considerable pest control work, painting, and, possibly,
a new roof and drainage system. This is not to mention any requirements
the new buyer's insurance company may demand, such as additional earthquake
retrofitting and electrical upgrades. The alternative — not doing the work
— will more than likely either lower the price they could get or, worse,
make the property unsaleable. In psychology, this is known as an "avoidance-avoidance"
dilemma."
Another obstacle is that the home has been refinanced. If the loan is
not paid off on time and in full, the lender can go after their personal
assets. In this scenario, their credit rating would suffer a serious blow.
In all likelihood, they will do more work to the property, sell it for
as much as they can get, and "come our of pocket" for the balance to pay
off the loan. Hearing about their situation, I felt badly for them; I felt
even worse after listening to the rest of their story.
John and his wife, after finally deciding they would sell their old
charmer, bought a vacant lot and made plans to build their dream home.
They looked at lots in all the best neighborhoods with prices ranging up
to $250,000. In the end, they bought a beautiful lot for $75,000 in a good
neighborhood. The predominant home values in the area range from $150,000
to about $300,000. The lot is picturesque, spacious and will afford them
privacy. It is also within two to three hundred yards of known earthquake
fault lines.
Their thought was to spend about $200,000 on construction. Assuming
they are able to keep their expenses to around this figure, they will have
spent enough to place their home near the very top of the value range for
their area. As we have all experienced, however, things tend to cost more
later than originally planned. For one thing, the city may impose expensive
engineering and building requirements to mitigate the earthquake danger.
Even then, their proximity to the fault line might prevent them from getting
earthquake insurance. Earthquake insurance or not, this factor will likely
diminish the value of their property.
John told me they were undertaking the new home project with no thought
to ever selling — this will be their "last home." When I asked what would
happen if one of them died and the other had to sell, he realized this
was a consideration they had overlooked.
Do we see a trend here? With each property, John and his wife tried
to "beat the system" without fully understanding how it operates. This
probably was not a conscious process, but a result of selective perception.
They focused mainly on reasons to buy and discounted the risks. They bought
attractive properties in mid-range areas, but failed to heed three age-old
maxims: 1) you get what you pay for; 2) location is critically important;
and 3) do not fight the "principle of regression" — buying the most expensive
property in a neighborhood leaves you nowhere to go but down.
This very bright, professional couple is repeating the same mistakes
they made in the past. When I pointed this out to John, a successful attorney,
he agreed. He told me he protects his clients by being cautious and conservative,
but does not always apply these same principles in his own interests.
I recently wrote an article about protecting sellers. John's situation
is a classic case of why buyers also need protection, even from themselves.
Intelligent, articulate and knowledgeable people can overlook important
issues by virtue of being caught up in the emotional excitement of the
buying process.
An experienced, professional real estate agent maintains an unemotional
perspective and can point out the 'blind spots." Agents help clients clarify
reality.
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